Weekend winter weather potential

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First things first, this is not a major snowstorm for most areas. This weekend (January 31-February 1) will be rather wet, though. The complex system is currently located over the Desert Southwest that will be steadily lifting toward Kansas this weekend.

Storm system's location late Thursday.

Storm system’s location late Thursday.

Rain showers should start up Friday night into early Saturday. With lows in the lower 30s, there may be times for some snowflakes mixing in by early Saturday, but that will not last long. Temperatures will climb through the day on Saturday to near 40°. That will be warm enough to change most of the rain/snow mix over to just rain most of the day on Saturday.

DMA NAM Precip Type1  DMA NAM Precip Type2

 

DMA NAM Precip Type3

Then the colder air wraps back around into Northeast Kansas Saturday night into early Sunday. Highs will drop back into the upper 20s on Sunday with areas of snow before it wraps up on Sunday.There are, however, some big questions still unanswered that will impact the amount of accumulation the area could see:

Rainfall potential through Saturday evening.
Rainfall potential through Saturday evening.

 

Where the most snow may fall by Sunday morning.
Where the most snow may fall by Sunday morning.

There are, however, some big questions still unanswered that will impact the amount of accumulation the area could see:

– How quickly will temperatures drop below freezing Saturday night for accumulation to begin?

– How much precipitation will still be over Kansas when it turns colder?

– How much warmth will be left in the ground after the recent warm stretch?

– KSNT Storm Track Chief Meteorologist Matt Miller

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